Stronger opponent using 3-4-1-2

[Joretonnyc]

Hi there. I`m facing tomorrow a stonger than me opponent (he`s 12lvl, i`m 11lvl). Our overall qualities are almost equal - mine is 71.4, his 72.1. But his team is stronger than mine.
This is his team ->
This is my team ->

As you can see i will try to counter it with 4-1-3-2, normal attacking, mixed passing, own half, normal tackling, no offsides, no counter.

Last match at home i was defeated by 1:3. I used 4-1-2-1-2 ND, but didnt succeed. Any advises about how to win by 2 goals away? Thanks in advance.