I think 4-5-1 V might work. My analysis is your opponent relies on counter attack strategy so having 4 defenders and 1 DMC might be able to block his wingers and 2 strikers. Middle area would be really easy to dominate since he use no MC. However, your lone striker and 2 wingers might be a little bit struggling to score because your opponent's defense is really crowded. But the strategy worth to try.

If I were you I would take out one of my MC and add and extra striker with good heading skill and tall. So I would use something like 4-1-3W-2 with up arrow for the winger. down both flank, mixed passing and normal mentality. By using MR/ML instead of AMR/AML I can provide extra cover when the opponent try to counter from the flank.