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How to beat this strange formation?

Hello guys. This formation in my opinion is quite crazy and I'm not sure how to counter it. Yesterday my players played very well when I set 3N-1-4-2 (DMC blue arrow, rest without arrows, normal mentality, down both flanks, NO counter, NO offside). Do you think it will be good this time? Or maybe 4-2-3-1?
Also, my squad quality is 112.3 and his only 99.0. But sometimes he likes making surprisesa and beating someone on higher position.
Cheers
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