Hi guys,
I have an opponent next, and I have previously lost to him.
He uses a formation that I don't know if it won him the game, or if it was me countering it wrong.

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He uses 451, flat. However he has an AML instead of a ML.


I tried to counter it with 451 V, as my team is a hell of alot stronger.


If I change my counter to 3N-5-2, red arrows on ML and MR. Will I probably beat him?
This is how I'm set up at the moment:
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any help would be great as this win will take me 2nd, and I believe even 1st if the league leader loses or draws.