Hi manager,

For a more tailored counter, info about opponent’s full squad plus subs (to guess what and how they could change) and your lineup player positions availability (for a useful counter when you do have the players) and also are needed. Without knowing on ability of key-position players quality, such as DC, ST and AMs if available, it is fairly difficult to work out a strategy to overturn a considerable large 3-goal margin with a 10% disadvantage.

Generally speaking, this opponent parks the central midfield with a pushed-up DMC and a pulled-back MC. Number-wise he could go via middle or flank.

The logic is to attack the flanks where he does not have wide midfielders and avoid central. With a 10% disadvantage and need to win by 3 net goals or more, it may be ‘safer’ to outnumber with only 1 flank with your stronger winger, if available, against his weaker DR (not sure about DL as not shown in image).

Personally, I would play the following 4-3-1-2 format, heavily overloading the opponent’s DR & DMRC area.
If opponent pulls back his AMC/MC/DMC in-game to defend the AMC, I would move AMC to MC to play ‘normal’ via controlling MC area. Or move MR up to play AML-AMC-AMR via middle to overload DMC area when left flank is missing chances. As said, my squad would allow these in-game moves without subs, so you have to try using your available players to make the best of available space.

Click image for larger version. 

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