I think there is a large element of "I spent money on the game, I should win" mentality with a lot of people on these boards. They expect that you can throw scouts at opposition teams and come away with a victory 95% of the time.

Saying that though, my observations of the games i've played this season ... the starting tactics/formations of a game seem to have a huge effect on the game, regardless of how quickly you change to remedy getting beaten. This being said, it's almost as if each game has a modifier that has an impact on the vital result ... this possible maybe a lot of BS, but it feels that way sometimes.