4-4-1-1
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It's hard to say, but as JF said: the 3N-4-1-2 could work. I used the 3W-5-2 and 3W-1-3W-2-1 and got mixed result, sometimes I could win by +3/4 goals and sometimes lose by a goal margin. Also formations that I used before as counter, don't work that well anymore. The result have become way to random.
I believe the more players you have in the middle - the greater % you will win.
actually found a player I wanted on the TM was into round 40 then my f*****g phone battery went dead :(................not happy lol