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Exactly. You know how the game is programmed from observing. And the conclusion is and at the end of the day, this is still jst a mobile/web-based game which requires no skill and really very much depends on the players you buy.
So let's jst have fun playing instead of over-analyzing simple A-B-Cs! :)
That possession bonus is not the only thing that counts in the game... too a substitution during the match can change the situation... maybe some peopel think that the game is played before be played... just we see a simulation and we can not change the result but I don't belive in that exactly... sometimes we are playing and winning 2-0... then the game is stopped and result is not saved in the server so game do a new simulation of the match and maybe if we were winnin 2-0 then we loose 1-3,,,, so our decisions affect in the game. And more things that now at 3am I dont remember,, but about "possession" theory I just will say that possession is like all things, like the bonus of victory, like have a good ST that scores every match... like have the correct man for corners... the correct for fouls... like a good decision...
Possession (and thats by my own viewpoint) just give one some more chances that can be decisive, no more.
Then talking about your matches, we can say that is normal loose against a +2* team no? then if we have to analyze something is the 2nd match, the formations, and the players you used.
Too is posible, (and thats something not comproved by me...) that you have a player in your team, that works better in CL.... (I usually say and always was thinking that this game is so simple, and players work in same line always but... who knows...) so if you see a player that contributes and works(scores assists in this competition, just use this.
Thats something that only you can analyze, because you know every player how works, and for what can you use this.
Maybe I had the perception that some players work in different mode in different competition... but I did not put attention to this factor... I don't belive in that exactly, but... who knows?... so maybe is something pending to analyze...