since you selling number 20, use number 22 at DL, push number 10 in DC, push number 4 up as DMC, push your DR up to DMR, remove all the arrows and follow this formation and you have balance and space. This way you can use all your best players and you don't put too much in defense. Up to you if you want to use the butterfly and sacrifice your star ST for 2 DML/DMR. Look at your MC, he's way better than his 3 and he can dribble past them with the help of your DMC, not only you will stop his MC from advancing in the hole but help out your MC to retain possession as well. Use your best against his weakest. If you use butterfly you basically using 2* players to defend his 4* attackers, and using 1 ST against his 2 4* DC. the reason he puts 3 in midfield because they weak. I'm guessing he will go for 4-5-1 V as his DMC is much better.