ofcourse you have a chance but you can't do nothing formation wise because your team if stiff, not versatile. Keep the same formation, remove all the arrows you have now, add red arrows on Casselli and Hamid, blue arrows on Bakhtuktin. Use short passing, mixed, man on man marking, pressure whole pitch, hard tackling. Try to injure him or draw few cards from him and punish him on the return leg.