I had this idea for this thread yesterday, after my ch.l. game with my alt team.
I had all the good conditions (except win bonus - I had the 1st level). All my players had a good form (ok, my GK, THE USUAL 6-7-6-6-7).
Started watching the game and when I saw that my oppo was using an asymmetrical formation (and wasn't watching the game), I changed my formation from 4-5-1 V, def/counters to attacking from left side. I took of my right winger, set an AMC (in the left side), put two ST (in left and middle side), I put red arrows in all those attackers and then my opponent scored twice
Oppo scorer got a 5
So, after that game I was thinking what's the real meaning of watching or using the proper formation vs luck (or a fixed result)
This is not the first time. Almost half times, when I see an asymmetrical or not proper formation (for example when oppo has 3DC, attacking from the flanks) try to counter it and it's failing
well, sometimes games favour is just unbeaten !