Funny that I've been playing since February 2016, passing level 30 a few months back, and changing one player (or more than one player) has had very little difference before.
Of course there is one major difference this season; not spending $$$$.
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Out of CL against a weaker opponent, me 125%, he 107%.
First round was a troll match, he scored second gol in final minutes.
Attachment 110248
Second round balanced match, but he was weaker, it was very strange that I haven't not scored, but the problem was the first match.
Attachment 110250
Here are some recent results just from this season.
Exhibit 1 : Me: 115.4%; opponent: 109.7%. Full condition, top morale, all 10% bonuses. Both managers present. Result: loss 0:6.
Exhibit 2: me same as above, opponent: 106.7%. First game: I'm present, he is not - loss 1:3; 2nd game - both present; loss 1:2
Exhibit 3: me same as above, opponent: 83.9%. I'm present, plus one supporter; he is not.1:1.
Exhibit 4: me same as above, opponent 95.9%, not present. 1:1.
Exhibit 5: me same as above, opponent 106.2, not present. Loss 1:3
Exhibit 6: opponent 99.4%, not present. 1:1.
After about 5 years with this game, I can surely say that it's much closer to slot machine than most people think, and all these formations, sideline orders, condition, morale, etc etc, have only entertainment value.
(The quality percentages of the teams are what T11 shows as of today, it apparently does not capture them at the time of the game and in all history games shows today's values; but it's safe to assume that the gaps were comparable)
@ vad you are old player but maybe missed some episodes.
Always check besides the overall quality of the two teams, the white skills of oppo players.
There are mutants or semi-mutant players who rule the game lately.
I would sugegst you to open a thread with your team stats. I would like to see how MoM you have, goals and assistances. The thing is simple, or works or not, it doesnt matter because all formations can win the treble with the right players. and orders are not related with the oppo options.