I just experienced this in the cup final. It was almost as if the game is doing the opposite of what is expected - the weaker team were "favourites", the attacking team concedes, the defnding team has more shots in the last 5 minutes.

All the management and preparation counts for nothing if the match itself is just down to luck - a roll of a dice or random number generator.
All one can do is try to stack the odds in one's favour - but how can your opponent then be favourite?

Just nonsense.