If you say he is very fast... I would say at least 150 green packages to get the special ability and 6* quality
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Yeah, but I believe he is trying to play "illegal formation" for the season to come and due the meantime just farm Tokens and cut all expenses. You know just stockpile as much as he can. Then when he feels that "okey, I believe now I can buy some descent players without being outbidded all the time" then he will start to be active again.
He isn't a T-buyer, but he has been having a quite good squad since lvl 2 (all 5* + couple of scouts) and been my 1th challenger and rival in the league + cl. I think I would consider to "tank" myself a couple of season if I didn't buy any Tokens.