How I think the gameplay algorithm should work.

[Cloverfield]

Although it makes sense from programing pov, this will be a straight forward formula that each manager will know.
Nordeus through years they have shown that they do not want us to know the calculations, so when a crazy score happens, it is easier to get it explained because... **** happens.

So a non deterministic game, due to multiple unrealistic football factors, suits business purposes.

Moreover i am not sure calculations now have such kind of depth, meaning I do not think that there is any propability that is calculated for dribbling.
Quality overall, formation, arrows, tactics are thrown in a mixer in the beginning, and small tweaks can happen in the game, at the minute when algorithms reads again some values. i have spotted that 51min is one such moment, when the game stalls every time for few seconds.

I came to terms that this game is an arcade game and not a simulation one, and I do not expect this to be changed ever.

I really hope football manager on mobile get more and more developed and I will jump to that.
Real teams, real players, real transfers, real simulation.

[Alexinho]

this will be a straight forward formula that each manager will know.

Not so sure about that.
The mathematical formulas will still be secret.
The only thing that the managers will know is that they need attackers and defenders with good highlighted attributes.
The same thing we thought was important before discovering it's all fake. ;-)