Ok now, here are some more stats.
I am not updating the matrix anymore on this thread but I just putting up tables with stats from the matrix instead as these numbers are the relevant things.
These number say something. When I get about 10-15 games worth of stats, they should tell a bit more about the real numbers. Until then I can only say this:
Game stats:
1) Form 5: you always lose morale. Obvious.
2) Form 6: you can actually GAIN moral....but you shouldnt.
3) Form 7: 3 out of 4 players will lose moral.
4) Form 8: less than half will gain morale, which is WRONG.
5) Form 9: you always gain morale.
Daily Maint Stats:
1) 1 in 4 players who played gain morale after daily game maintenance.
2) 5 of your 7 subs will lose morale after daily game maintenance.
3) 1 or 2 of your reserves will GAIN morale after daily game maintenance.
4) Form 5: 50% will lose morale after daily game maintenance.
5) Form 6: Strangely none lost morale after daily game maintenance.
6) Form 7: ~50% GAINED morale after daily game maintenance.
7) Form 8: almost 50% LOST morale after daily game maintenance. WRONG!
8) Form 9: 100% LOST morale after daily game maintenance. WOW! WRONG!
This is just a quick glance. Let me know if I missed anything obvious, or if you can read something into these numbers that I didn't get.
All this to say, Morale seems to be a bit more chaotic than I had thought.