Troll Results-the facts.

[Brian Dang]

Having seen a great many posts about 'troll' results on here, I'm posting some of the data I've complied over the past ten seasons.

It's quite clear, from this data, that we should expect c.10% so-called 'troll' results. The average is actually 11.13%. What is interesting to note is that the rates were lower in the less successful seasons. Therefore, if you're getting a few 'trolls' be pleased because it means you're doing well!

Hope people find this useful.

Sometimes, u know, like level 6..I had 5/6 matches losing straight with all the weak teams when just starting of the season but at the end of that season I almost got treble...However, sometimes the Troll resulst unfortunately cost us the quarter final CUP match like in level 7 for my Winning 11 team...I led 2-0 till min 60th and possessed the match but from nowhere, I had straight red card n even 1 injury...then end of the day I lost 3-2...
or in this level 10, league day 19, as the match today...I am being forced to Draw in a match that no way I could draw...1st leg at his home I beat him nicely 4-0 same formation, same tactics even the team at that times a lot weaker coz as u know in early of the season the players were not enough train yet.. but same thing happened, I led 2-0 and from no where I got red card again and from mins 76th he scored twice.. and I got a draw...3 matches continuously I only lost n draw, My lead in league narrow down from 12 points to the 2nd now only 6points...That's obviously Troll but I could not explain that...Same goes to my Tuan DM FC or Winning Eleven teams...

[russ2000_uk]

Sometimes, u know, like level 6..I had 5/6 matches losing straight with all the weak teams when just starting of the season but at the end of that season I almost got treble...However, sometimes the Troll resulst unfortunately cost us the quarter final CUP match like in level 7 for my Winning 11 team...I led 2-0 till min 60th and possessed the match but from nowhere, I had straight red card n even 1 injury...then end of the day I lost 3-2...
or in this level 10, league day 19, as the match today...I am being forced to Draw in a match that no way I could draw...1st leg at his home I beat him nicely 4-0 same formation, same tactics even the team at that times a lot weaker coz as u know in early of the season the players were not enough train yet.. but same thing happened, I led 2-0 and from no where I got red card again and from mins 76th he scored twice.. and I got a draw...3 matches continuously I only lost n draw, My lead in league narrow down from 12 points to the 2nd now only 6points...That's obviously Troll but I could not explain that...Same goes to my Tuan DM FC or Winning Eleven teams...

Afraid the data doesn't include some kind of co-efficient to weigh the importance of the match. 2 of these (that I can remember) were CL finals, which, you might argue, is a more significant 'troll' than a non-descript league match.

This is merely to garner some quantitative data to indicate the likelihood of a seemingly improbable result. I didn't include data where I handed the 'troll' result out, but there have been many where it has worked in my favour. I would think it's about the same...