Seems like I will be winning the top spot in my group. My team is the 3rd best team, and luckily the top player is not very active - he/she has 16 trophies total trophies so far. I'm 4 trophies ahead at the start of the final day to 2nd place despite having a weaker team.

However, I can agree with some of the posts here. I'm losing to teams 20% weaker than mine. The bonus for the defending team is more than expected. These "weaker" teams somehow have more possession, more shots due to this bonus? Of course I have adjusted tactics and use the 10% training bonuses, but still they are way too powerful.