In TE penalties, it's even further away from roll of dice situation. Imagine a group of seven star players with penalty and shot stop specialists against three star players with no special skills, the seven star team will likely has an advantage. But beauty of penalties is this advantage is less significant than in open matches, which makes the penalty match-up all the more exciting.

To conclude, the roll of dice element is not there completely, but sufficiently present to make it such that the stronger team may still lose to the weaker team.