This match proved to me is isn't pre-determined.
I've started with 4141 and opponent not only got quick lead, but was dominant in 1st half, so after 45 mins stats were:
-----------me - oppo
Ball P. 48 - 52
shoots 2 - 10
In the 2nd half I moved my MC-MR from MR to MC and switched ML for ST from the bench (413N2). 2nd sub was MC (out)-AMC (in) -> narrow diamond.
By the end of the 2nd half my team scored 3 goals, completly changed statistics and won the match