Update: after 2 matches won against two teams in the bottom of the table I'm 14 point over the no-promotion zone, I must try to get at 4th place at least.
It is 5 points far and I only have 5 matches..
Anyway, I think that 80% of the chances to get a victory in TE comes from your team quality
In the remaining 20% you can include all the things we talk about every day
Moreover, now I'm sure that ball possession is almost useless