I won`t use foul language BUT HOW XXXX

[Tactician]

There's nothing to explain really, the differance really is close in both cases, and then all depend of internal factors, match scenario and other stuffs.

+5 advantadge in some attributes is not, and can not give a definitive result.
And the SA's we talked many times that are not guarantee of anything.
One can not pretend have +1 star in general Q. and assure 3 points.

No.

Have a look at the formations used.

For the first case, it is 33.5 vs. 26.2 (starting 11). For the second case, it is 34.2 vs 27.7 (starting 11).