Understanding role of Luck in top eleven

[nikolgiorgos]

Great theory, I agree with the wave form

Ok then, let's analyze it a bit more and maybe try to understand better the game.
Today I played the Cup final vs a team, Dinamo.
This guy bought this season 11 players from scout so had a team of 124% quality vs 120% mine.
I lost


(I had many supporters so got 59% ball p. - but only 11 shots)
with very bad rates



Few hours before that, I had an easy League game.
My stats there were great and my three attackers got a 10 (Ibrahimovic also had a low rate but he scored and got a final 7.8 in the Cup).


My opponent yesterday night had a bad day at the Super League semi final



So, it was his time to recover from a bad day/roll-dice and for me to fall into that ?

Who knows (but I cannot find some better explanation)

[EastsiderSG]

Ok then, let's analyze it a bit more and maybe try to understand better the game.
Today I played the Cup final vs a team, Dinamo.
This guy bought this season 11 players from scout so had a team of 124% quality vs 120% mine.
I lost
.....................

(I had many supporters so got 59% ball p. - but only 11 shots)
with very bad rates
........................


Few hours before that, I had an easy League game.
My stats there were great and my three attackers got a 10 (Ibrahimovic also had a low rate but he scored and got a final 7.8 in the Cup).
.........................

My opponent yesterday night had a bad day at the Super League semi final
...............

So, it was his time to recover from a bad day/roll-dice and for me to fall into that ?

Who knows (but I cannot find some better explanation)

You know I was just thinking something similar. Was asking myself if I should have killed my streak before the cup final so the probability of the system issuing me a loss would be lower. I think it makes sense.