I am only a relative newcomer I guess , my oldest team is in its 12th season , the youngest is in season 10. In all I run 5 teams and not once have I bought a recommended player or player of the day , why ? I am not flush with tokens. My association is in Gold 2 with enough points to progress to Gold 1 next season so my budgets were between 90 and 120 tokens this season so I simply cant afford to spend that type of coin on 1 player, I have to be frugal which usually means I dont get involved even in auctions for the first few days and aim to have my squad settled by the first week of association games. I am forced due to the stupidity of the early auction bidding wars to go for players between 89 and 92%, the younger the better, and train them up. I usually end up with a 98 -99% team during the last part of the league season which is ok. Do I win the league ? not often but all my teams usually end up in the top 4 , I think the worst any of my teams has done was 7th( the season after winning the league. I concentrate on the league and associations and often send my second stringers out in the cups comps.
Now if the negotiation scene worked then I would be better off with my limited funds but it just doesnt work. About 20 times I have tried to negotiate for a player and anout 20 times the time limit has expired with no reply from the selling manager. I have just about given up on it.
As for these inflated player price offers , good luck if you want to spend the money , not me though.