Thing is - those teams July met that was 105 and not 98, might have been 98 also at the time the cup was drawn? Same for ppl with 37Q facing you with 29.8 - maybe their average (whole team) really WAS ~30 at the time the cup was drawn and they strenghtened their team AFTER the draw..??
I tried the same thing after my season 1, to have a go at cup in s2 and it seemed to somewhat work when i checked teams the first day - but at day 2-3 suddenly 5-8 other teams had strenghtened ALOT, and i was basically left without a chance in the cup.