Originally Posted by
Grandef
In terms of probability, if you are a normal team, the chance that you reach the final is very very small. I would assume that you can win 4 first teams easily. From the 5th to 9th (if I correctly remembered), they are stronger than yours (I don't exactly remember how much they are stronger). Now, for example each destination the quality increases 10% and like your assumption, the chance of winning a 30% stronger team is 10%. I made a similar assumption: the chance that you win a 10% stronger team is 30%, 20% stronger is 20%, 40% stronger is 5%, and 50 % stronger is 2.5%. You have 30% x 20% x 10% x 5 % = 0.03 % of chance to go to final, and 0.00075 % of chance to win this event.