Yeah, you can read it, but you have to understand whats a "match scenario" when we talk of it, and how to determine if it's basically in your favour or against you.
Basically "have the control of the scenario" is when the game is fluid for your team, usually -90% times except rare cases- the possession bar is in your favour, live animations "are with you".
What can you do if you feel that the game don't plays in your favour? first of all determine where are the decisive players in the acual match, if you for example lose the ball continously attacking from right side, switch to left, if long passing means losing balls, change to short even if these long passings come from the "mixed passing" option.
Change the pressure line too is a way to control the possession bar... very defensive don't means that you only defend, you basically will start your attacks from your own area, defensive from near midfield, "normal" is the way to have a wide field, with most distance between the defensive line and the attacking and tend to work when the oppo have few players in midfield... etc
Offside moves the defense one step im front, so maybe you can control the match having the players more next to the area.
"All what you have to try is to have the match control".
If a player fail too often or do not appear in the simulation sub him near the minute 50' or so. Too one should take care of aggressive players as these can complicate the match.
So yes, you can read the scenario, looking the bar possesion, the animations, who fail, were, how(long pass' often- who is a disaster and have a bad impact today etc, and be anticipated to the next actions ex- a player will be aggresive and have double yellow but u sub him- or, from right side you'll lose but your aml will score the 1-0.