I suspect luck is involved too. But it's more than that. Those 3 inactive teams look like real monsters when they face the favs. And they probably aren't even trainned (poor preparation level).
On round 7 I faced this jokerlen 57% (he plays a wide open 4-2-4) with my main team. Could barely score after 70', when I was already hard attacking + 3 STs.
And today I won a match 9-0 against this tai-fun (4-4-2 classic 80%). Started normal mentality, scored twice. Halftime I changed to defensive (i wanted to finally end a match without conceding), then score 3 more goals. 65', I changed to hard defending, replaced a MC by a DMC and scored 4 more goals. ;O well, I have no control of anything :/