I'm not arguing for a win, and it is impossible to say that they did not play slightly better, but when their slightly increased in-game ratings are filtered through the base quality of both teams' players, my guys still come out ahead. And the fact that it happened at MY stadium makes it that much harder to believe.
For a loss in this situation, based on the venue and the quality of each team, their in-game ratings should have to have been much higher. If the lesser team wants to rise up and beat a better team (especially on the road), they need to elevate their game, and the in-game ratings should reflect this!