A subject to think about

[Medo zalata]

The game depends on % as I believe.
You can set your perfect counter formation, have the better quality then you will have +90% of winning.
Even if you have 90%, you may fail.
This is based on the fact that most managers in real life stick to one formation that better suits their team (quality in the game) and don't change formation every game they have.
They change formation if necessary but they often change tactics.

However, nordeus should review their match calculation system because sometimes it depends too much on luck rather than logic. Also it depends too much on quality.