Had two horrible results so far, one in the league and on in the CL, lost 1-0 and 4-3 to teams 30% weaker.
Won every other game against teams my strength.
The two losses were the two games I never managed to watch, so I can quite happily put to bed the theory of not watching makes you win.
I'm pretty confident that if I had made both these games I would have turned them around.
Just sheer luck if you avoid and win.