4-4-2 is getting beyond a joke too.
Played a 4-4-2 Hex, that's AML/AMR instead of standard ML/MR.
Against a 4-4-2.
My team were all full condition, full morale as usual.
Lost 2-1 against a team 15Q, yes that's 3 stars lower.
My team are all scouts/world class by the way.
Luckily the other two people in the league below me who are nibbling at my heels lost/drew too so it wasn't all that bad.
But yeah your study is interesting.
Could be the fact that 4-4-2 is majorly OP at the moment, or the fact the game doesn't take condition into consideration.
Or a mixture of both. Great post though, can tell a lot of work has gone into it.