Understanding role of Luck in top eleven

[Medo zalata]

Super good thread
A year ago I was playing a game where there were weapons and you should improve them till lvl 120, surely in higher lvls a weapon will cost you your family lol
Improvement system there was based on percentage of success which goes up and down every half an hour
The point here is that once it was 99% of success so I tried to improve my weapon and it failed twice and I couldn't improve it as I had lost all the money !!!!!
Just imagine 100 cards 99 of them is succeed and 1 is fail and you took that fail card twice

[Medo zalata]

I think this game works like that
Every match you have a percent of winning
Morale, condition, formation, quality, etc... All of these factors contribute to this percent and may raise it to 99%
However 99% may fail twice as I said before