You put 4-2-3W-1 versus a 4-4-2, this is madness, even if your team is stronger. It is like knocking the door of the troll.
I already explained to you how 4-4-2 can block the play of 4-2-3W-1. A weaker team will have more chance to beat you if you give him such a chance; the bot manager just has to counter you by orders with the already set formation, and with rolls of dices going its way, it has a good chance to get a draw or even win.