Equal quality, same setups, same players ==> SAME OUTCOME?

[Cloverfield]

So we decided to take advantage that we are almost at same quality with madflo and as we are in same asso we can arrange some friendlies taking advantage with this similar quality


We setup same formation 451v and almost same tactics.
We did not use high pressure and no m2m.
Most settings were the normal ones.
Arrows also almost the same.

First match
From the very first minutes Clover rating were too low.
Milan was outstanding having too many shots on target.
You had the feeling that quality between players was huge.
Outcome, a huge win for Milan.



Second match
Same exact setups as the first one.
A completely different game.
Clover was a bit better at frist half better ratings, except GK.
Milan managed to get it to 1-1, but one more goal resulted to a close win for Clover.
Equal stats and ratings, a pretty much realistic outcome.
This is what we expected, close match and rolling the dice would chose the winner (or not)



In less than one hour we have a 3rd friendly with exact same setups plyers etc etc etc.
Can you guess the score?
And really what the f is wrong with the engine, why so much differences between same games??