4 - 1DMC - 2MC - 2AMW - 1
Avg starter is 38.8

beats my

4 - 3W - 1AMC - 2
Avg starter is 44.8

I attended the entire game with one supporter for +10% pos.
He was home for +5% and showed up with about 30 mins left to give him +8%
May advantage most the game at 5%, when he showed up it was his advantage at 3%.

My team was conditioned at 80-99% per player, and Morale was high on everyone. I outshot him 14/5 - 13/5 and had 6 corners to his 5, but none of mine registered in the comments.

Mixed passing and focus, half pitch, no counter, no offsides, medium tackling, and hard attacking (I've always been hard attacking against 4 defs).
I was pretty confident this match was mine considering it didn't appear either of our formations countered one another. Having a 6 point advantage per player with my 49 & 54 Strikers and 44 AMC on his 39, 36, 35, 29 Defenders and 36 Keeper, I would have thought to have given me at least 2-3 goals.

What went wrong?