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Great stuff in this thread! 
I will come back with some comments later on. But I want to point out that there also are many variables in the game, that obviously has a big impact. For example, this season I picked up a 18 y/o 99% striker 5.30 AM on Day 1 of the season (Niko its your fault I didn't get any sleep that Sunday morning
). Anyway, I have powertrained him real hard and he develops fast. But, in his first 13 games as the sole striker on one of my accounts, he had only ONE goal. My team has been very dominant and my AMC has 21 goals in 13 games, while my sole striker has 1. I have been thinking, what is this? Is this one of those players who will be cold a full season like many talk about at these forums etc.
But then I got a really tough draw in an association game (my opponent had at least 10 per cent on me). My team for once didn't finish a game with possession stats around 80-75, and love and behold my wonder-kid striker scored a hat-trick. And while it is hard to evaluate, this also mirrors what I see when I watch the games. When I have the ball and have pushed back the other team really deep, my striker is often surrounded by several defenders while my mid-fielders and wing-backs get a lot of open space. When my striker gets the ball, he often just passes it back again. But when I faced a much better team that pushed me back, he got all kind of room on the counter attack and could dominate.
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