Any reasonable explanation for such results?

[Joe Hillis]

OK. I posted it in the "unsatisfactory results" thread, but no one seems to care. For me that's a great example this game ran out of any logic and completely contradicts reality. Right now I'm trying to find a reason to keep playing. All my friends already gave up and I'm managing all their teams (total 4), two of them in the same league...
That was a Cup top-16 round and both teams quality was pretty much the same.

1st leg. I played on the road. No one was watching the game. I win 4:2. Here's formations and stats:

2nd leg. Both team used the same players and formations. Me team was at home field, me and my buddies were watching, we had +15% possession bonus, took more shots, more shots on goal, more corners. And lost 1:4:


They made me to lose just enough to get eliminated.
This is the most recent and most ridiculous example of unrealistic outcome. I witnessed too many of them over the last couple weeks.
When was the last tome (if ever) something similar happened in real life? What's a logical explanation for such results? The only explanation I could find is that Nordeus made me to pay the price for my complains regarding the game engine.