I really don't understand this game. So today I played a match against my biggest rival in league. He is 78% and I am 89%. I invested in morale and every player was in superb morale, condition was around 90% for every player I also found counter formation for his formation in the counter formations 2.0 table and I used it. I watched the match and since it was a home game I got 13% possession bonus.

I also clicked every 20 minutes on bonuses in bonus tab in live match. And the result was 1-1. I even put everything on high in defence.. Is it random and bad luck or?