I just go with the team I selected and give them a chance and only substitute if I need to, I've made that mistake in the past and got a injury and a red card so I ended up with a defender up front lol because I had no subs left, also it give me a chance to see if my youngsters have good performance. For some strange reason I think that favorite tag makes the opposition play better lol I know it sounds stupid but that's how it seems