Nice thread.
Agreed.
I like the waveform. I often feel there's a 'team form' factor involved. I have series of matches where I just can't win, then things turn around and in the second half of the league I easily beat the teams I lost to earlier. I've also noticed that in the early stages of most leagues there's a team at a top position (1-4) who, based on quality, shouldn't be there. Probably that manager is having a good streak. Ofcourse, the better your team, the less it should effect you.
I think there's a roll of the dice, but it's based on individual actions instead of the match as a whole. For example, will my better defender block the opponent's shot (60-40), if not, will it beat my weak GK (70-30). Probably there's some calculation at the start of the match based on quality, formation, ....
As for making money, I think it works like every other FB game I've played. You want to do well? You can, without spending a single coin. You want to do better? Spend some money, buy some scouts, win some titles. It becomes a problem if luck is such an important factor that being the better team and/or manager doesn't matter anymore. But it's a balancing act, you don't want the best teams to become unbeatable. Although I do believe luck is playing too big a part at the moment, it's still the best teams and/or most dedicated managers who take home most titles. Could be worse.![]()